David Chau @InsideOptions_
Captain Condor 🦅 | Fund Manager | Market Mover | Memes + Math = Alpha spxmgmt.com Joined March 2020-
Tweets608
-
Followers11K
-
Following7K
-
Likes5K
Merry Christmas, I wish nothing but success for all. Anytime an iron condor breaches we track the levels over the last 3 years and we build our quantitative model around this. This is the first time our series failed in over 3 years since CBOE released dailies in 2022, 1 series. you can’t backtest anything prior. So yes we are pioneers. Black Scholes options pricing formula uses implied volatility not future. I suspect these conditions offered perfect opportunity for range breaches. I didn’t expect this to be any different than any other time we traded. We have rules and followed the books. We don’t normally close trades because all stats are realized at the close, Often have seen markets breach and close back inside. This is how our long model works (the one that predicts 1SD breaches) But they don’t work together to complement short IC. The premise of our strategy is not about avoiding losses, it’s about generating positive expectancy. Positive EV in this strategy is accepting that these events will happen because it’s a probability based system , but if you started with x$ and doubled or tripled the amount, you take off principle and scale the rest with house $. In a nutshell, yes we are hurt but I don’t fucking give up. We will regroup and try again.
@InvestorMMM Thanks let me know if you have anything we can cross check our work. I’m working with somebody that reached out now and they have some compelling correlation so maybe will have a leading indicator soon.
@gherkinit @nitou_cybrotter @GammaStr1ke What I’m asking is , is there a way to go back and check what the positioning is for each and every single day.
@gherkinit @nitou_cybrotter @GammaStr1ke I understand there isn’t an API but is there a way to manually pull each day or some look back period for 3 years, then we can quantify it
@agtrader I read this and I have an answer but It’s just so much more complex, give me a dm we can hop on a call and I’ll give you my 100%!
@Ghostztradez We have tried everything, and we are open to suggestions if anybody has something quantifiable not just all talk. I’m in no competition with anybody, if we win we all win together
@Ghostztradez Lose that trade * excuse the typos and grammar
I’ll shoot it straight When you hedge it’s a double edge sword, you open up risk and you could lose that risk. Yes we have managed positions, closed positions when breached but what we have found was that all the stats we realized at the close. We have closed positions and the market swing back inside. So we built rules in place to define risk before we enter into any series I hope that answers your question. We try to eliminate any discretional decisions / hedging.
We trade based on the data we have, I’m not an expert in GEX or anything people talk about Nobody has ever sent us anything quantifiable to show proof that there is any correlation. We are still looking for anything quantifiable, but for now we will draw our conclusions. Chalk shit up and run it back stronger
I don’t know anything about that, Is it a fake profile ? I don’t really care if they are are she / he. I followed them for some time during that huge fiasco I wasn’t invested into it. I don’t have anything personal against anybody, at the end of the day we are all just trying to make it in life.
@agtrader We have traded half days and fomc, it was systematic. If x happens and y triggers then we trade. In hindsight there might be a few things we missed and that’s what we are trying to figure out
@SoccerMomTrades @Merridew__ All good sorry lol I actually followed you some years back, didn’t mean to put you on the spot.
We don’t look at “SPXW positioning” Can you show me something quantifiable over the last 3 years regarding this positioning to see how our series would pan out? I’m not an expert in “SPXW positioning” I’m an expert in the models we trade and produce and we don’t use positioning to make trading decisions If you can show me something quantifiable we can draw correlations and implement it into the system.
@happysphere @nitou_cybrotter @OptionsDepth We have CBOE yes
@happysphere @nitou_cybrotter I agree with this, We felt like this was different because of that… So regroup and try again and willing negate this.
@RyanBaileyEdge @Groot751188 Sure thang, We did our work we ran our numbers. It’s viable so we will continue
@VolSignals Merry Christmas man, all I ask is for another awesome meme aha
@nitou_cybrotter Got it, I would need like a csv file for the last 3 years so we can check if it correlates. This would be helpful
Chuck Cook @ChuckCook
77K Followers 2K Following Dad, USNavy CDR S3 Viking, A321 Captain, OG FSDβ, @NavalAcademy Aero Engr, Developer, Arborist, Beekeeper, Aquaponics, Keto Coach - https://t.co/G841drcL9G
MilMileBattery @MilMileBattery
14K Followers 2K Following
Zhan Yang Lim @bersloj1
1 Followers 1K Following
Expatriado fiscal @vivir_en_chipre
2K Followers 966 Following 🧠 Hombre libre · 📈 Dividendos & opciones 💵 Objetivo IF $10k/mes · 🇨🇾 Chipre 💰Grupo de telegram 👇 https://t.co/D3nhouOFyB
Yann¡ck @GremaudYannick
33 Followers 91 Following
Zaid @GoodMind86
1 Followers 5 Following
Plapao @Plapao_research
120 Followers 337 Following I'm plapao (@Ploytalk 's cat). Eating & Sleeping & Vibe coding & Quant at @Ploytalk l Disciple of #GlobalLiquidity I Global Macro DJ I Study #BusinessCycle
LottoTrader @Ye_Lotto_Trader
100 Followers 552 Following Add to winners aggressive AF and it will make up for never learning what a FVG is. Never pay for a discord. Avoid Douchebags.
Travis @PatientTradeX
820 Followers 661 Following Full time derivative/stock trader. 📈📉 Market thoughts and charts 📊 Trading journey started in 2018. Memes/Gifs/Bad jokes.
larryjag @larryjag39
126 Followers 401 Following
pete insusj2 @insusj2
17 Followers 2K Following Passionné par la bourse/trading actions us , options et l’aviation civile. Sans oublier mon armée la marine national malgré une petite carrière courte (3 ans).
Perry McDonald @perrys_talk
32 Followers 223 Following
ibrae istandant @IbraeI28762
36 Followers 275 Following
Keith Thai @KeithThai6
80 Followers 117 Following
Stanly @YuzhiWang134238
0 Followers 29 Following
_ @R2UT3
76 Followers 344 Following
adam zhang @adamzha93037325
11 Followers 35 Following
王剑勇 @jian_yong95058
0 Followers 15 Following
Jonathan Russell @JonathanRu23218
12 Followers 49 Following
💎⚡️ ¢®Yptø ... @CryptoYeezus_2
1 Followers 56 Following 💎Hunter,2x Bear Market Survivor. Full time shitcoin poster and most underrated caller on X.🚀
Joyyyyy @s53550956518
6 Followers 89 Following
stonkgang @stonkgang
5K Followers 737 Following Trader, Investor, Private Equity. Owner of Stonk Gang. Don’t invest based on my outlandish opinions. Nothing I say is financial advice.
DM @DM8317367345030
24 Followers 114 Following
James @JamesWexler
31 Followers 214 Following
Rafael @XieRaphael
0 Followers 61 Following
Tony Wan @TonyWan6
41 Followers 53 Following
Eranga @Erangacla
1 Followers 9 Following
Lololilik @lollipopypopy
56 Followers 405 Following
Xoazsn @c6tol
0 Followers 22 Following
Doom-Boom @doomboomflying
13 Followers 152 Following
Quinn Nguyen @QuinnNg04541431
5 Followers 77 Following
quantedOptions @quantedOptions
3K Followers 39 Following Licensed CBOE 1-min market maker data. Zero assumption - Fastest data available. Pioneer 1-min CBOE MM Gamma API access. quantedFlow-Options Scanner. Trial Now
BlockStoxx @BStoxx
977 Followers 1K Following Educational content focusing on dark pool prints, echo trades, block trades, dealer gamma hedging, market maker delta hedging, and unusual option activity.
Sean Ly @seanly999
72 Followers 407 Following Follow THE Smart money so that someday you won’t need money.
zainab @zihabon
153 Followers 1K Following
Brian @Brian414317
0 Followers 23 Following
Brandon Guyette @BTG1987
29 Followers 711 Following
Karthik @Karthix06
180 Followers 1K Following Solutions Architect | World-Class Technology Transformation Leader | Architect in Web, Mobile, Digital & Cloud Enterprise Transformation | Certified PM
Jared Hixenbaugh @JHixen
4 Followers 23 Following
Billy Ray Valentine @billy_ray_
172 Followers 718 Following S&P500 Nasdaq futures trader interest in: #daytrading #futures #HedgeFunds #investing #CFDs
Jordan F @jordanfogel
151K Followers 476 Following 8+ Year Trader | Quant | Founder @optionbots | Posts are not investment advice
TradeKid @neupanekp2023
17 Followers 21 Following
Hari @uravakonda_hari
48 Followers 663 Following
Sawyer Merritt @SawyerMerritt
1.1M Followers 462 Following EVs/space/tech. Bringing you the latest news in a single, easy-to-read feed. $TSLA & $SPCX investor, Model Y owner.
Rob Maurer @robmaurer
366K Followers 159 Following Managing partner @fpg. Hosted Tesla Daily from 2017-2024.
vincent @SPCX100T
245K Followers 271 Following
Chicken Genius @pakpakchicken
244K Followers 68 Following Nothing to sell you. ZERO. No private groups, IG, telegram, NOTHING. Don't be dumb sending "ME" $$$
Cathie Wood @CathieDWood
2.4M Followers 514 Following Founder, CEO and CIO @ARKinvest. Thematic portfolio manager for disruptive innovation, mom, economist, and women's advocate. Disclosure: https://t.co/chxRD4oWOd
Earl of FrunkPuppy @28delayslater
134K Followers 7K Following #FrunkPuppyFriday creator!! $Floki Viking
JPR007 @jpr007
53K Followers 6K Following Global Citizen Providing Intelligent Information Please use the JPR Library to support our activity Go to https://t.co/dye7rb3Z8k
Tom Nash @iamtomnash
183K Followers 3K Following 📈 Investor | Founder of https://t.co/3Zg2kEd1iS | YouTuber 💰 Long-term investing, DCA, & market insights 🇺🇸 $PLTR Early Investor
ALEX @ajtourville
164K Followers 595 Following Physics engineer here for the progress of disruptive innovations and ventures Elon Musk picked my 𝕏 logo design for 𝕏 All-in $TSLA since 08/2019
Gail Alfar @gailalfaratx
143K Followers 593 Following 🚀 Whats Up Tesla Podcast | Starbase road-tripper | Giga Texas sand artist | Mom of five amazing humans — https://t.co/1pIdyh3jF0
MilMileBattery @MilMileBattery
14K Followers 2K Following
TrendSpider @TrendSpider
648K Followers 2K Following Award-Winning 🏆 Industry-Leading 🚀 All-in-One Trading Platform. Real-Time Charting, Scanning, Backtesting, Alerts, Bots, Fundamentals, Options Flow & more!
blake @blakestonks
151K Followers 4K Following trackin my journey with the stock market & sports bets // swing, momentum & day trader // not financial advice // THIS IS MY ONLY ACCOUNT / patreon = service
Ripster @ripster47
462K Followers 475 Following Trading & Investing Education Inventor : Ripster Cloud System Founder: Tenet Trade Group https://t.co/0qpaN2fM0W https://t.co/GP2vE0fon3
TΞSLλ WOLF @BrianGriffo
14K Followers 6K Following $TSLA Bull ~ Satoshi Silver, LLC ♻️ Founder #Bitcoin ~ Futurist Travel Cinematographer & Digital Cowboy. Views are my own.
DaiCaChicKeN @MMM_Trading_Co
92 Followers 157 Following
SPXGAMMA @SPXGAMMA
2K Followers 186 Following Unlock the power of options data with SPX Gamma 📊 | Real-time insights, option flow analysis, & trading tactics to elevate your market edge 🚀
Evan Luthra @EvanLuthra
397K Followers 969 Following 3x Forbes 30 U 30 🚀 • GP @KOLCapital💰 600+ Investments • 🤝 Adventure Capitalist 🌏 100+ countries 🏛️ Minister of IT @Liberland_org
RennerVation Foundati... @officialRVF
129 Followers 4 Following Offering children in foster care and at-risk youth the chance to embrace a childhood filled with joy, growth, and belonging!
Jeremy Renner @JeremyRenner
5.7M Followers 490 Following MY NEXT BREATH “Mayor of Kingstown” RennerVation Foundation “Love and Titanium” EP
Tristan Tate @TateTheTalisman
3.4M Followers 2K Following Kickboxer, Father, Businessman, Comedy genius. Brother of @cobratate. Luke 23:34. https://t.co/4Fchq9Tz8e https://t.co/wKnwWOyfwr
The Merkle Hash @themerklehash
823 Followers 176 Following Cryptocurrency News #blockchain #blockchainnews #cryptotwitter
David Roberts @DavidRobertsNC
318 Followers 558 Following Real estate investor instructor and mentor - Futures & commodities trader. Professional Body Builder Man Of Faith - Public Speaker
Adam Schappell @SchapKnonix
358 Followers 231 Following Founder & CEO of @KnonixSecure | National Security | Navy Veteran | ForbesTech Member
Samson Chan @SamsonChan360
147 Followers 533 Following Securities and Investment Advisory Services offered through Integrity Alliance, LLC, member FINRA & SIPC.
Arlo32Trading @Arlo_32
288 Followers 327 Following Trader. Options, Futures, and Crypto. (Disclaimer: not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.)
Chris Olner @chrisolner83
240 Followers 1K Following Father, hard working, investing in stocks long term and crypto. Learning and growing every week
Paul Hughes @phugheskings
469 Followers 513 Following Barrister specialising in the law of costs. Liverpool fan. Loves to travel, cook, learn languages and trade.
Coin Farmer @theCoinFarmers
104 Followers 2K Following The First Crypto Farming game to implement NFTs, P2E, Move-to-Earn, AR, and VR. #NFT #P2E #M2E #AR #VR #Crypto
Charles Brittain @CABrittain
74 Followers 29 Following
$gojo @Joordankid
856 Followers 298 Following Just Posting Ideas and Setups 🚀 // E-commerce & Options Trader 📈 Money Prints Daily, go get it.
LukeAnthony23 @Luke_Anthony23
212 Followers 273 Following My tweets are my opinion only, do your own DD. I give no financial advice.
Carol Curtin @CarolsHomeBiz
2K Followers 3K Following Herbalife Nutrition - Int’l President’s Team. Working from home and loving it. Message me for details 🙂 https://t.co/2IY5CkU0e0
Paulo J. Carrillo @pjcarrillo_ST
618 Followers 2K Following Growth’s stock investor. Family Office Portfolio Manager in Latam. Opinions are for own investment. taking my time on my ride..
Shone @ShonePatriot
267 Followers 3K Following Western Civilization Values. Investments Junkie. Bitcoin Freedom #bitcoin #usa
Rachel Corrine @RachelCorrine__
199 Followers 463 Following harm reduction // abolition // health justice // OSINT Yale JD-MPH 2022 | 🏳️🌈
Boris @BullishFactors
651 Followers 4K Following Since 1930s ZOGs & Marxist media have deliberately saturated poison 1920s Dwarf Wheat to Western Civil and conversely Millet on Sub Sahara.
Make VIX Great Again @WallStreetNanny
274 Followers 2K Following Operating 8 nurseries around Financial District. Our service fee is 2/20 per baby.
Slim Trady @Slim_Trady
81 Followers 150 Following
Trey Bradley @trebrad11
155 Followers 783 Following
Illya @illyatrader
115 Followers 164 Following US Equities Options Trader. Tape Reader. Financial Analyst. Living The Life Of A Young Man.
Tartessos Capital @TartessosCapita
355 Followers 3K Following La calidad y la excelencia son nuestros pilares fundamentales para desarrollar un asesoramiento financiero global e independiente a todos nuestros clientes.
David @KingDav333
71 Followers 147 Following I am a software developer with an educational focus on artificial intelligence. No financial advice.
Morgan-AI-Analysis @Newplan20201
344 Followers 5K Following
🎀 prophecy 🎀 @bloodlustsirena
74 Followers 486 Following taking my dreams and turning them to things. it’s like magic. isn’t life wonderful?
Kuldeep Kumar @kuldeepkumaar41
310 Followers 2K Following
Roger Seymour @rogerdaprophecy
81 Followers 1K Following Motivated to succeed! | The Prophecy Fulfilled! | TOTK
Quilla @AnthonyBrogsia
457 Followers 748 Following Born and raised in SC...Navy Veteran, small business owner, IT guy and Futures/Forex/Equities/Options Trader with big time aspirations. #QuillaCapital
TheOneToCee @TheOneToCee
701 Followers 93 Following Post forecasts on different names using confluence between strategies. Check out my highlights. Nothing here is trading or financial advice.
Pete Apostolopoulos @BigPete44
711 Followers 2K Following
Dynamic Super Power T... @TradersDynamic
398 Followers 0 Following Doveman Group™ Dynamic Live How To Make Only #Profits in #STOCKMARKET, while you sleep? #Dynamiclive #Dynamicsystem #dovemangroup Link: https://t.co/DV3FxWDLQN























